Shutdown End Guess: Congress doesn't want to miss Recess!

My Guess:

Since Monday, October 14th is Columbus Day (A Federal holiday), and the week of October 14th through October 18th is a "Constituent Work Week" (aka recess), it makes sense that the agreement will be reached late Monday (the stock market is open on Monday). 

Take it to the limit, and than tell the constituents how hard you worked for them.

Besides, members of Congress hate to miss recess!