Saturday, November 9, 2013

Schedule for Week of November 10th

The key reports this week are the October Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization report and  the September Trade Balance report.

On Thursday, there will be a confirmation hearing for Janet Yellen as the new Fed Chair.  Yellen is  qualified, has an excellent track record (she has been "hawkish" when appropriate, and "dovish" when appropriate), and I expect she will be confirmed by a large majority.

----- Monday, November 11th -----

Government offices, banks and the bond market will be closed in observance of the Veteran's Day holiday. Stock markets will be open.

----- Tuesday, November 12th-----

7:30 AM ET: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for October.

8:30 AM ET: Chicago Fed National Activity Index for September. This is a composite index of other data.

----- Wednesday, November 13th -----

7:00 AM: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.

----- Thursday, November 14th -----

8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for claims to decrease to 330 thousand from 336 thousand last week.

U.S. Trade Exports Imports8:30 AM: Trade Balance report for September from the Census Bureau.

Imports and export were mostly unchanged in August.

The consensus is for the U.S. trade deficit to increase to $39.1 billion in September from $38.8 billion in August.

10:00 AM: Confirmation Hearing, Nominee for Fed Chair Janet Yellen

11:00 AM: The Q3 2013 Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit will be released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

----- Friday, November 15th -----

8:30 AM: NY Fed Empire Manufacturing Survey for November. The consensus is for a reading of 5.5, up from 1.5 in October (above zero is expansion).

Industrial Production 9:15 AM: The Fed is scheduled to release Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for October.

This graph shows industrial production since 1967.

The consensus is for a 0.1% increase in Industrial Production, and for Capacity Utilization to be unchanged at 78.3%.

10:00 AM: Monthly Wholesale Trade: Sales and Inventories for September. The consensus is for a 0.4% increase in inventories.

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