"You can only conclude that highly accommodative monetary policy for the foreseeable future is what's needed in the U.S. economy," he said Wednesday at a conference held by the National Bureau of Economic Research, citing the high unemployment rate, low inflation and "quite restrictive" fiscal policy. He said he expects the Fed won't raise short-term rates for some time after the unemployment rate hits 6.5%, which would be more than a full percentage point lower than its current level.I just don't see tapering in September unless the economy clearly picks up in July and August. However many analysts think tapering is a "done deal".
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Mr. Bernanke, speaking at Wednesday's conference, said he was "somewhat optimistic" about the economy. However, he noted the June unemployment rate of 7.6% "probably understates the weakness of the labor market," inflation is running below the Fed's 2% objective and fiscal policy is quite restrictive.
Thursday:
• At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for a decrease to 337 thousand from 343 thousand last week.
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