Aggregate consumer debt increased in the third quarter by $127 billion, the largest increase seen since the first quarter of 2008. As of September 30, 2013, total consumer indebtedness was $11.28 trillion, up by 1.1% from its level in the second quarter of 2013. Overall consumer debt remains 11% below its peak of $12.68 trillion in 2008Q3.
Mortgages, the largest component of household debt, increased by 0.7% in the third quarter of 2013. Mortgage balances shown on consumer credit reports stand at $7.90 trillion, up by $56 billion from their level in the second quarter. Balances on home equity lines of credit (HELOC) dropped by $5 billion (0.9%) and now stand at $535 billion. Household non-housing debt balances increased by 2.7%, with gains of $31 billion in auto loan balances, $33 billion in student loan balances, and $4 billion in credit card balances.
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About 355,000 consumers had a bankruptcy notation added to their credit reports in 2013Q3, roughly flat compared to the same quarter last year.
emphasis added
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Here are two graphs from the report:
The first graph shows aggregate consumer debt increased in Q3.
This suggests households (in the aggregate) may be near the end of deleveraging. If so, this is a significant change.
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From the NY Fed:
Delinquency rates improved for most loan types in 2013Q3. As of September 30, 7.4% of outstanding debt was in some stage of delinquency, compared with 7.6% in 2013Q2. About $831 billion of debt is delinquent, with $600 billion seriously delinquent (at least 90 days late or “severely derogatory”).Here is the press release from the NY Fed: New York Fed Report Shows Household Debt Rises in Third Quarter
Delinquency transition rates for current mortgage accounts are near pre-crisis levels, with 1.6% of current mortgage balances transitioning into delinquency.
There are a number of credit graphs at the NY Fed site.
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