A survey of 273 builders by John Burns Real Estate Consulting in Irvine, Calif., found that the respondents’ sales of new homes declined by 4% in August from a month earlier. In past years, August typically has yielded a 2% gain from the July figure. Burns estimates that its survey, conducted Aug. 29 to Sept. 3, spans roughly 16% of new-home sales in the U.S.This is similar to the report from home builder Hovnanian earlier this week.
Perhaps more telling: far fewer of Burns’s survey respondents reported raising their prices in August than had in previous months. Of the respondents in August, 47% reported raising prices, 48% held prices steady and 5% lowered prices—the largest percentage of reductions since March 2012.
Those figures show substantial change from the results of Burns’s July survey in which 64% of builders reported raising prices, 36% held them study and one builder—statistically 0%—said it cut prices.
Builders have been raising prices significantly, and combined with rising mortgage rates, this has slowed down new home buying.
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However, as this graph shows (through July), new home sales are still historically low, and I expect sales to continue to increase over the next few years.
But I do think the new home price increases will slow sharply.
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